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NOAA Says 2026 El Niño Has Very High Odds of Becoming a Very Strong Event

Exceptional Pacific sea-surface and subsurface heat increases the chance of a record-strength El Niño, prompting agencies to update winter forecasts and preparedness advice.

May 2026 Was the World’s Second‑Warmest May on Record

Forecasters See Rising Odds of a Very Strong El Niño in 2026

NOAA Puts El Niño on Watch With 61% Odds for May–July, Flags 25% ‘Very Strong’ Risk

NOAA Confirms La Niña, Calling It a Weak Event With Uncertain Winter Impacts

La Niña Watch in Effect as Warm Pacific Clouds U.S. Winter Outlook

NOAA Issues La Niña Watch, Lifts Odds to 71% for Fall and 54% for Winter