ZiPS Sees Tigers as AL Central Front-Runner for 2026

FanGraphs' model spotlights a 5.5-WAR projection for Tarik Skubal, Detroit's projected ace.

Overview

Dan Szymborski released the full 2026 ZiPS projections for the Detroit Tigers.
The system rates Detroit as the division’s most complete team and a moderate favorite entering 2026.
Skubal draws an elite 5.5-WAR forecast, the model’s highest single-season pitcher projection since Chris Sale in 2019.
ZiPS pegs Jack Flaherty, Casey Mize, Reese Olson and Troy Melton as slightly above-average starters, while identifying a need for back-end bullpen upgrades despite solid marks for Will Vest and a rebound outlook for Tyler Holton.
The lineup projects as solid but light on stars with Riley Greene leading the group, and the model urges early promotions for Kevin McGonigle and Max Clark as Gleyber Torres returns on a qualifying offer at second base.