Overview
- YouTrend’s online poll finds Fratelli d’Italia down about 0.9 points to 26.9% while the Democratic Party holds at roughly 22%, narrowing FdI’s lead.
- Roberto Vannacci’s Futuro Nazionale rises to 6.4%, increasing its role as a potential kingmaker for the centre-right coalition.
- Without Futuro Nazionale the governing parties (FdI, Forza Italia, Lega, Noi Moderati) total about 40.7%, but adding Vannacci’s list would raise the bloc to roughly 47.1%.
- Public approval of Giorgia Meloni’s government remains frozen and negative at 35% positive versus 55% negative, with stark splits inside the centre-right where Futuro Nazionale supporters are evenly divided in their views.
- The poll shows rising undecided or nonvoters (33.5%) and a majority preference across centre-right voters for the legislature to reach its natural end, a pattern that, together with the survey’s ±3.4% margin of error, makes small shifts or alliance decisions likely to change outcomes.