Overview
- YouGov surveyed 2,609 adults online May 5–6 after Tuesday's Oval Office joke in a weighted poll with an estimated 2.5% margin of error.
- Overall, 55% said they would beat President Trump and 19% picked him to win, while 66% said an average American would win and 10% backed Trump.
- In the eight-year-old matchup, 45% favored Trump, 31% chose the child, and 24% were unsure.
- Partisan splits were sharp, with 75% of Democrats saying they would beat Trump and a 39% plurality of Republicans saying he would beat them.
- Coverage linked the viral poll to Trump’s plan to host a UFC event on the White House South Lawn on June 14, which coincides with his 80th birthday.