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Yardeni Puts U.S. Crash Risk at 35% as Oil and Dollar Spike, Bitcoin Steadies Near $67,000

His call reflects oil above $100 with the dollar posting its strongest week in a year.

Overview

  • Bitcoin briefly fell below $66,000 before rebounding toward $67,000–$68,000 as weekend geopolitical tension hit risk assets.
  • Veteran strategist Ed Yardeni raised his U.S. stock‑market crash probability to 35%, citing energy‑price shocks and tightening financial conditions.
  • Oil pushed past $110 a barrel before reports of potential G7 reserve releases knocked U.S. crude down about $15 intraday to below $104.
  • U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs logged a second straight week of net inflows totaling about $568 million, even as daily flows swung widely.
  • NYDIG research estimates only about 25% of bitcoin’s price moves track equities, though BTC has tended to fall during broad risk‑off episodes.