Overview
- XRP staged a tentative rally in early July after buyers formed higher lows and technical indicators flashed bullish signals on July 3, including a Supertrend buy and a MACD crossover.
- Spot XRP ETFs logged roughly $62 million of net inflows in June, bringing cumulative ETF flows to about $1.48 billion, which has added steady institutional demand to the market.
- On-chain activity surged with the XRP Ledger reporting 4,941 new wallet creations in a day while Santiment recorded deeply negative MVRV readings near -45% (30-day) and -47% (365-day), a mix that signals fresh accumulation but large unrealized losses for holders.
- Immediate price action hinges on the $1.08 support and the $1.10–$1.12 resistance band; concentrated whale positions and clustered derivatives short liquidations in that range mean a break could trigger a sharp short squeeze or, if rejected, a quick re-test of $1.00 support.
- Ripple’s recent product moves — an institutional XRPL lending proposal, its scheduled escrow unlock that released 300 million XRP while 700 million remained locked, and EU payments progress — have eased dilution worries but the token still trades below major longer-term moving averages, leaving the recovery fragile.