Overview
- XRP has traded in a tight $1.10–$1.30 band and hovered around $1.12–$1.15 after heavy selling pushed it briefly to about $1.12 over the weekend and buyers quickly reclaimed much of the loss.
- Centralized exchange reserves have fallen to roughly 1.6 billion tokens, their lowest level in seven years, which reduces available float and makes price more sensitive to large orders.
- XRP-focused ETFs have kept buying, recording roughly $10.66 million in weekly inflows and about $1.45 billion in cumulative inflows since November 2025, providing steady institutional demand even as retail activity weakens.
- Short-term technical signals have turned more bearish, with a 4-hour MACD crossover and an approaching multi‑week EMA crossover that raise the probability of a slide toward $1.05 or $1.00 if $1.10–$1.13 fails.
- Ripple’s expanding payment work — including RLUSD links to Mastercard, MXNB stablecoin projects, African payments funding and XRPL AI tooling — supports a medium‑term utility case but does not remove near‑term liquidity and whale‑distribution risks.