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Working Voters’ Confidence in Trump Collapses, Polls Show

The drop in worker economic confidence raises the risk that Republicans will lose crucial House support in November.

Overview

  • CNN data analyst Harry Enten presented Labor Day polling that finds President Trump’s net economic approval among full‑time workers about 41 points underwater.
  • Gallup data cited by Enten shows 72 percent of workers said Q2 2026 was a bad time to find a quality job, up sharply from previous years.
  • The Bureau of Labor Statistics reported 162,000 payroll gains for August 2026, but analysts say worker sentiment has not improved despite that jobs headline.
  • Poll aggregation also shows a 15‑point swing in the House ballot among employed voters, from a six‑point Republican edge in October 2024 to a nine‑point Democratic lead now.
  • Analysts note a split between polling and prediction markets like Kalshi, and warn that negative worker sentiment—not the raw jobs number—is likely to shape voter behavior in the midterms.