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William Blair Says Coinbase De-Risked After 26% Slide, USDC Gains Lift Outlook

Analysts say the selloff reset expectations to focus investors on steadier USDC‑driven income.

Overview

  • - William Blair said the 26% drop from March highs has already priced in weak trading, leaving Coinbase shares looking de-risked in the near term.
  • - USDC’s share of dollar stablecoins has risen to about 27% from roughly 21% in 2024, which the firm views as a key support for Coinbase and for USDC issuer Circle.
  • - Bloomberg Intelligence estimated Coinbase generated about $1.35 billion from USDC in 2025, or roughly 19% of total income, through reserve interest and related fees.
  • - Coinbase has expanded beyond spot trading into derivatives, staking, equities trading, and prediction markets, a shift that reduces reliance on volatile transaction fees.
  • - Data cited in the reports show USDC supply up about 220% since late 2023 to roughly $78–$81 billion, helping push stablecoins to a record ~$315 billion market cap and to a dominant share of crypto trading volume.