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Wholesale Prices Surge as Trump Calls Off Iran Strikes and Markets Rally

A jump in May producer prices driven by oil price swings is putting renewed pressure on central banks and shaping expectations ahead of next week's Fed meeting.

Overview

  • May producer prices rose 1.1% month‑over‑month and 6.5% year‑over‑year, the largest annual gain in more than three years with energy and oil-related costs accounting for roughly 80% of the increase.
  • On Thursday President Trump said he had canceled planned strikes on Iran after talks with Iranian leaders, a move that sent stocks sharply higher and pushed oil prices down by roughly 2–3%.
  • U.S. equity gains were led by semiconductor and AI-linked stocks while large software firms such as Oracle fell after announcing heavy AI spending and plans to raise about $40 billion.
  • Iran claimed it had closed the Strait of Hormuz to commercial traffic but U.S. officials disputed that account, keeping the regional supply risk and oil-market sensitivity at the center of inflation concerns.
  • Markets are now focused on the Federal Reserve's June 16–17 meeting under new chair Kevin Warsh as policymakers confront a sudden energy-driven inflation shock that could alter the path for interest rates.