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White House Cites Poll to Back Iran MOU as Public Doubts Deal’s Durability

The Economist/YouGov survey shows backing for specific steps while revealing broad uncertainty and a strong expectation that talks will collapse.

Overview

  • President Trump recently signed a memorandum of understanding with Iran that pledges a ceasefire, reopens the Strait of Hormuz for commercial passage, and states Iran shall not procure or develop nuclear weapons.
  • White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt shared a Breitbart post on X on Tuesday, June 23, promoting an Economist/YouGov poll as evidence of broad support for the MOU.
  • The poll of about 1,600 respondents found 32% support for the MOU, 24% oppose it, and 44% were unsure, while roughly 70% backed reopening the Strait of Hormuz and a ban on Iran obtaining nuclear arms.
  • Respondents were highly skeptical about the deal’s durability, with more than 80% saying it is somewhat or very likely negotiations will fail and the war could resume, and the survey showed deep division over lifting oil sanctions.
  • The MOU’s economic terms are a flashpoint: 46% oppose the proposed $300 billion reconstruction fund, only 23% support it, White House officials say the fund will not be taxpayer-funded, and critics from both parties are demanding clearer enforcement and funding details.