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Western Funding Spurs Rare‑Earth Push as Australia Orders Divestment of Chinese Stakes

Uncoordinated subsidies risk flooding a small rare‑earth market because China still controls most refining technology

Overview

  • Governments in the United States, Australia, the EU and Japan have pledged tens of billions of dollars to speed mining, processing and stockpiling of critical minerals to reduce strategic dependence on China.
  • The rare‑earths sector was worth roughly $6.4 billion in 2024 while combined Western aid to rare‑earth projects already exceeds that size, raising a real risk that policy-driven oversupply could collapse prices.
  • Group of Seven officials have held talks to create a permanent secretariat to coordinate supply and purchasing plans so national programs do not unintentionally swamp markets.
  • Australian authorities ordered six Chinese‑linked investors to sell a combined 17.58% stake in Northern Minerals on national interest grounds, a sign that investment screening is tightening even as Australia still relies on foreign capital and partners.
  • China remains dominant in refining and separation technology and industry experts say it will take roughly five to ten years to build independent advanced processing capacity, so policymakers must pair industrial funding with coordinated buying, stockpiles and targeted processing projects to avoid market shocks.