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Western Digital Rises to Record Highs After Two Banks Lift Price Targets to $650

Analyst upgrades following a strong quarterly beat have driven a rapid re‑rating that reflects investor bets on AI‑driven demand for high‑capacity hard drives.

Overview

  • The stock jumped roughly 15% in one session on Monday after JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley raised their price targets to $650, sending Western Digital to new 52‑week and all‑time highs.
  • Western Digital reported a fiscal third quarter that topped expectations with adjusted EPS of $2.72 and $3.34 billion in revenue, and management issued stronger revenue guidance for the coming quarter.
  • The company has increased shareholder returns and cut leverage by adding $4 billion to its buyback program and selling about $3.17 billion of its SanDisk stake to pay down debt.
  • Analysts say the rally rests on an AI storage thesis that could leave HDD supply 10–15% short of demand in 2026 as AI workloads push annual HDD demand growth toward 40–50%, while manufacturers expand capacity more slowly.
  • Key risks include high valuation and execution challenges in scaling next‑generation high‑capacity drives, and investors will be watching upcoming results and product roadmaps for evidence that demand and pricing hold.