Overview
- NASA and ESA now assess zero chance of a Moon impact, projecting a closest approach of about 21,200 kilometers on December 22, 2032.
- James Webb Space Telescope detections on February 18 and 26 provided high-precision astrometry against a well-mapped Gaia star field.
- Initial short-arc calculations after the late-2024 discovery had indicated roughly a 4.3% probability of a lunar strike.
- The object, about 60 meters across, poses no known threat to Earth for at least the next century according to prior assessments.
- A coordinated effort by NASA’s CNEOS/JPL, ESA’s NEO Coordination Centre, Johns Hopkins APL and Webb operations produced the update, with continued monitoring planned.