Overview
- March and April are expected to lean colder than normal with near- to above-normal precipitation across many regions, pointing to a sluggish, changeable transition out of winter.
- May remains the wildcard with a notable chance of an abrupt shift to hot, dry conditions, most likely beginning in Western Canada, with uncertainty about any eastward spread.
- Above-normal rain and snow raise typical spring flood concerns where snowpack and rainfall overlap, though no specific region is flagged for elevated danger at this time.
- Ontario’s outlook calls for recurring wintry spells with snow and ice through at least April, near-normal temperatures in the GTA, colder-than-normal conditions farther north, and potential delays to planting alongside extended ski seasons.
- Regional signals vary, with Atlantic Canada having the best chance at a more typical spring, much of Northern Canada trending warmer than normal, the Prairies starting cooler and stormier, and parts of British Columbia cooling early before a warmer turn later.