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Weather Models Flag Mid-March UK Snow Risk as Forecasters Urge Caution

Official outlooks highlight uncertainty, with no current prediction of a prolonged severe cold spell.

Overview

  • ECMWF model runs suggest a multi‑day window for snow between March 13 and 20, including signals reaching southern England and London, with some northern areas near -2C on March 18.
  • The GFS model depicts a broader blizzard scenario around March 15–16, indicating snow over large areas, potential lows near -12C in far northern Scotland and local accumulations up to about 12cm.
  • Mapped projections highlight possible flurries for major cities including Glasgow, Edinburgh, Newcastle, Manchester, Birmingham, Liverpool and London, alongside parts of Wales and Northern Ireland.
  • The Met Office long‑range guidance for late March raises the chance of wintry hazards with temperatures near average overall and no strong sign yet of sustained, really cold conditions.
  • BBC Weather anticipates showery Atlantic systems with occasional wintry showers and notes a small, uncertain chance of colder air later in the month.