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Wall Street Splits on Tesla as Its AI Bet Takes Center Stage in 2026

New analyst targets collide with weak delivery checks to underscore debate over Tesla's AI pivot.

Overview

  • Tigress Financial resumed coverage with a Buy rating and a $550 price target, pointing to a shift toward a physical AI platform built on FSD, robotaxis, and humanoid robots.
  • Wells Fargo reiterated Underweight after data checks showing January deliveries trending 18% lower year over year and 59% lower month over month across major markets, with Europe soft and China domestic at the lowest since November 2022 alongside elevated exports.
  • Wolfe Research labeled 2026 a catalyst‑rich year and projected Tesla’s robotaxi revenue could reach $250 billion by 2035.
  • Tesla reported fourth‑quarter gross margin of 20.1%, the highest in two years, and ended 2025 with about $44 billion in cash and investments.
  • For 2025, revenue fell 3%, earnings dropped 47% to $1.08 per share, and vehicle revenue declined 10% to $65.5 billion, with the article attributing pressure to softer EV demand and brand concerns linked to the CEO.