Overview
- Major firms moved bullishly this week, with New Street upgrading Micron to Buy and setting a $1,250 target on Friday and UBS’s Timothy Arcuri publishing a $1,625 target.
- KeyBanc projects DRAM prices up 15%–20% in Q3 and another ~15% in Q4 while forecasting NAND gains of 30%–40% in Q3 and a further 15% in Q4, figures analysts say justify the upgrades.
- Micron’s June quarter beat expectations, reporting $25.11 in EPS and $41.46 billion in revenue, and the stock has rallied back toward the $960–$1,000 range after a month‑long advance.
- Material medium‑term risks remain, including rival capacity growth from players such as YMTC and SK Hynix, Micron’s $9.3 billion fab not producing until about 2028, and recent insider share sales.
- The longer‑term bullish case rests on HBM (high‑bandwidth memory) being less cyclical because it uses far more wafer capacity per gigabyte, and investors should watch HBM/DRAM price trends, hyperscaler orders, and fab ramp timelines.