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Vistra Misses Q2 Revenue Estimate While Adjusted EBITDA Jumps and Helix Venture Is Launched

Rising realized power prices combined with extensive hedging have driven EBITDA gains that management says justify keeping full‑year adjusted‑EBITDA guidance intact.

Overview

  • Vistra reported quarterly revenue of $4.02 billion, falling about $1.7 billion short of analyst expectations, while GAAP net income was $305 million that included a $472 million unrealized hedge loss.
  • Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA rose roughly 31% year over year to $1.77 billion, a metric company executives highlighted as the primary measure of performance.
  • Management reaffirmed full‑year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $6.8 billion to $7.6 billion and said realized energy and capacity prices, plus recent asset contributions, support that outlook.
  • The company announced Helix Digital Infrastructure, a new power venture with KKR, the Kuwait Investment Authority and NVIDIA that Vistra will fund up to $1.0 billion and serve as the preferred power provider.
  • Vistra also disclosed FERC approval for its pending Cogentrix acquisition, roughly $6.3 billion in available liquidity, heavy hedging coverage for 2026–2028, and about $1.2 billion of remaining buyback authorization which together preserve capital flexibility.