Overview
- Voters will decide Tuesday on a constitutional amendment that lets the Democratic-led legislature draw new U.S. House districts for 2026–2030, replacing the commission process for those cycles.
- Nonprofit groups that do not disclose donors supplied roughly 95% of nearly $100 million spent, with the pro-referendum committee reporting about $64 million and opposition groups raising far less.
- Republican lawsuits remain active, and the Virginia Supreme Court allowed voting to proceed but will rule on the merits later, which could void any approved map.
- Polling shows only a narrow lead for supporters, as national figures from both parties weigh in and rallies across the state cap a hard-fought campaign.
- Analysts say a map projected to favor Democrats 10–1 could erase several GOP-held seats, reshape rural and suburban representation, and reduce Virginia’s clout by risking members with seniority and key committee posts.