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Virginia Redistricting Battle Intensifies as Early Voting and Ad Blitz Shape April 21 Referendum

The result could lock in a map projected to give Democrats 10 of 11 House seats until new lines are drawn after the 2030 census.

Overview

  • Virginia NAACP leaders condemned mailers that used old anti-gerrymandering quotes from Barack Obama and Gov. Abigail Spanberger to urge a “no” vote, while the PAC behind them said the quotes are accurate and fair context.
  • Democrats hold a major money edge, with nearly $40 million raised for the “yes” campaign and an ad spend of about $32.5 million to $2.5 million, including an Obama TV spot telling voters to approve new lines.
  • Early voting is already past the halfway mark statewide, and reporting shows higher ballot counts so far in Republican-held districts even as Democrats dominate paid outreach.
  • The ballot measure would pause Virginia’s bipartisan redistricting commission and let the General Assembly draw a new congressional map until after 2030, a plan projected to shift the delegation to 10 Democrats and 1 Republican.
  • Republicans are leaning on person-to-person turnout drives and public challenges, including a debate invite to Spanberger from former Gov. George Allen, while conservative groups warn the map would dilute rural voices by linking them to Northern Virginia seats.