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7h ago

Virginia Early Vote Surges as Spanberger Holds Lead and AG Race Narrows

Nearly 1 million ballots cast early point to heavy turnout that could yield split-ticket results.

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Virginia Attorney General Jason Miyares speaks during a campaign event for Republican Virginia gubernatorial candidate Winsome Earle-Sears on October 25, 2025 in Gainesville, VA.
Abigail Spanberger at a campaign event in Charlottesville, Virginia on Tuesday, Oct. 21.

Overview

  • Recent polls show Abigail Spanberger up by mid-single digits over Winsome Earle-Sears for governor, while Attorney General Jason Miyares and Jay Jones are essentially neck-and-neck.
  • Early voting is running well ahead of 2021, with roughly 971,000 Virginians reported to have cast ballots by Oct. 26; in-person early voting ends Nov. 1 and Election Day is Nov. 4.
  • Republicans have redirected TV ad dollars toward the attorney general contest after the publication of Jones’s 2022 violent text messages, with AG spending outpacing the governor’s race in October, according to ad trackers.
  • Pre–Election Day finance reports show Spanberger raised $11.73 million from Oct. 1–23 versus $9.5 million for Earle-Sears and ended the period with a larger cash reserve, while Miyares outraised Jones in the AG race.
  • Economic anxiety tied to the prolonged federal shutdown and rising electricity costs features prominently in voter concerns, and control of the closely divided House of Delegates is also on the ballot.