Overview
- Bellingcat and major newsrooms including The New York Times and The Washington Post authenticated Mehr News video showing a cruise missile consistent with a U.S. Tomahawk striking inside the adjacent IRGC compound in Minab.
- Weapons specialists cited in multiple outlets note that Israel is not known to operate Tomahawk missiles, making the munition identification central to attribution.
- The Pentagon says the incident remains under investigation and neither the United States nor Israel has claimed responsibility, despite President Trump publicly blaming Iran.
- Two U.S. officials told Reuters that military investigators currently assess it is likely U.S. forces were responsible, though findings are provisional and not final.
- Satellite imagery and OSINT analyses indicate the school was hit during near-simultaneous strikes on the IRGC site, with experts pointing to probable target misidentification and some raising the possibility of closely spaced successive impacts; Iran reports about 165–175 dead, a toll not independently verified, as UN experts and rights groups demand an urgent, independent probe.