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Vanguard Flags Retirement Readiness Gap, Points to Two Levers to Close It

Vanguard quantifies readiness gains from universal DC access, with further improvement from two extra working years.

Overview

  • Only about four in 10 Americans are on track to sustain their lifestyle in retirement, with Gen Z and millennials reporting higher on‑track rates than Gen X and boomers.
  • Vanguard estimates universal access to 401(k)-style plans would lift readiness by 19 percentage points, and working two additional years would add 13 points, with plan access roughly doubling the odds of meeting savings goals.
  • Retirement assets reached $45.8 trillion by mid‑2025, nearly double a decade earlier, as 401(k) participation rose to 85%, combined contributions averaged about 12% of pay, and 84% of Vanguard participants used target‑date funds.
  • The U.S. is aging rapidly, with one in five residents at least 65 by 2030, later retirements taking men to about 64 and women to 62.6 on average, and more people flowing in and out of work after claiming Social Security.
  • Costs weigh heavily on budgets, with potential pre‑Medicare premium jumps averaging about $11,000 if enhanced ACA subsidies lapse, long‑term care averaging $10,650 a month for a private room, 2026 401(k) limits rising to $24,500 plus catch‑ups, and savings disparities stark as the median nest egg sits near $87,000 and only about 3.2% of retirees exceed $1 million.