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VanEck Makes $1 Million Bitcoin in Five Years Its Base Case

The firm cites a five-year high Nasdaq correlation alongside muted derivatives activity as evidence of a sturdier market.

Overview

  • Matthew Sigel, VanEck’s head of digital assets research, told CNBC on Wednesday that Bitcoin reaching $1 million within five years is the firm’s base case, with the coin near $81,000.
  • He said Bitcoin now moves in step with the Nasdaq at a five-year high and that options and futures show little froth, signaling gains driven by investors closing short bets.
  • Sigel added that a central bank has bought Bitcoin for reserves, though he did not name the institution.
  • The new outlook marks a sharp shift from CEO Jan Van Eck’s 2024 forecast that topped out at $300,000.
  • Similar million‑dollar calls have come from Bitwise’s Matt Hougan and from Eric Trump, whose American Bitcoin venture could benefit if prices rise.