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Valentine’s Day To Generate 36.2 Billion Pesos in Mexico, With Dining Out Surging

Rising prices are pushing up the cost of celebrating, prompting consumer officials to urge shoppers to compare before they buy.

Overview

  • Concanaco projects 36.2 billion pesos in national sales for Feb. 14, an 11.4% rise from 2025, with average spend near 1,100 pesos and about 4.8 million businesses benefiting.
  • Mexico City’s chamber forecasts 6,358 million pesos in activity, with residents spending roughly 950 to 1,800 pesos and hotels targeting about 85% occupancy.
  • ANPEC estimates the celebration will cost about 15.8% more than last year, with a mid-range dinner for two around 1,600 pesos and higher prices for chocolates, flowers and gifts.
  • Profeco’s early‑February price check found large gaps for identical items—such as chocolates differing by up to roughly 150 pesos between stores—and it advises comparing at least three options.
  • Restaurants expect heavy demand, as 47% plan to eat out, while retailers prepare for hybrid, last‑minute buying patterns with most transactions finalized in physical stores.