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V-Dem 2026 Report Finds Unprecedented U.S. Democratic Decline Under Trump

The institute reports a 24% one-year drop in the U.S. liberal democracy score, warning that the 2026 elections could determine whether the slide becomes a breakdown.

Overview

  • V-Dem says the U.S. Liberal Democracy index fell 24% in 2025, with the country’s world rank dropping from 20th to 51st out of 179 nations.
  • Researchers attribute the decline to a rapid concentration of presidential power, weakened checks and balances, politicized oversight, and intimidation of the judiciary.
  • Freedom of expression is assessed at its lowest level in the U.S. since World War II, with the report citing suppression and intimidation of media, academia, and dissenting voices.
  • The U.S. is now classified as an electoral democracy rather than a liberal democracy in V-Dem’s framework after the first year of Trump’s second term.
  • The report places the U.S. within a broader wave of autocratization hitting Western democracies, and it flags the 2026 elections as a pivotal test for the country’s democratic trajectory.