Overview
- President Donald Trump said talks with Iran are proceeding and described a memorandum of understanding as largely negotiated, prompting a roughly 4–6% drop in Brent and WTI prices and a surge in risk appetite on Monday.
- Indian equities rallied strongly on the news with Sensex and Nifty jumping more than 1% in the session as oil fell below $100 and early trading showed broad sector gains.
- The Reserve Bank of India’s record Rs 2.87 lakh crore dividend to the government was flagged by analysts as an added domestic liquidity and fiscal support that has helped sentiment this week.
- The rupee firmed, moving from near 97 per dollar back toward the mid‑95s, reflecting easing import cost concerns from lower oil but remaining sensitive to headline swings about the talks.
- Key negotiation points remain unresolved, including Iran’s enriched uranium, frozen assets and the status of the Hormuz blockade, and analysts warn gains are fragile given persistent risks from higher US bond yields and possible re‑escalation.