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US Weekly Jobless Claims Tick Up to 197,000 as Fed Keeps Rates Steady

Altered auto-plant schedules may be skewing July seasonal adjustments.

A “Help Wanted” sign hangs in restaurant window in Medford, Massachusetts, U.S., January 25, 2023. REUTERS/Brian Snyder/File Photo
A California unemployment benefits form is shown Wednesday, July 8, 2026, in Detroit. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

Overview

  • Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose by 9,000 to a seasonally adjusted 197,000 for the week ended July 25, a smaller increase than economists had forecast.
  • The number of people on continuing unemployment benefits fell by 7,000 to 1.782 million for the week ended July 18, a drop that economists view as a modest sign of ongoing hiring.
  • The Federal Reserve left its policy rate at 3.50%–3.75% on Wednesday while three policymakers preferred a quarter-point increase, reflecting concern about labor-market strength.
  • July data may be distorted because General Motors and Ford changed traditional plant shutdowns, which can confuse the government's seasonal adjustment model and make weekly claims volatile.
  • Consumer views of job availability weakened in July to their weakest level since February 2021 and the June unemployment rate fell to 4.2% largely because people left the labor force, signaling mixed signals for workers searching for jobs.