Overview
- U.S. official data released Sept. 3 showed the goods and services deficit widened 24.4% to $88.6 billion as exports fell to $310.7 billion and imports rose to $399.3 billion.
- Imports of capital goods hit a record $140.3 billion on strong increases in computers, computer accessories and semiconductors, a pattern linked to the current AI investment push.
- Canada’s July goods surplus plunged to C$769 million from C$4.2 billion in June after exports fell 2.3% and exports to the United States dropped 6.6%, while imports rose 2.2% led by motor vehicles and parts.
- The U.S. posted record monthly goods deficits with several partners, including Taiwan and Mexico, and trade already subtracted about 1.14 percentage points from U.S. GDP growth in the April–June quarter.
- Policy risk is rising because firms appear to have front-loaded tech imports ahead of new U.S. duties and Washington’s recent 50% tariffs on Canadian goods and ongoing trade probes could provoke retaliation and further strain integrated supply chains.