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US Says India Trade Deal on Paper and Could Be Signed in Months

Completion of US Section 301 trade probes is the last procedural step before signing and tariff moves are changing the deal’s stakes.

Overview

  • A senior US official told Reuters on Wednesday that negotiators have the text ready and the agreement could be signed in three to four months.
  • The official said the remaining hurdle is the United States finishing Section 301 investigations, including a probe covering about 60 countries that is expected to conclude imminently.
  • President Donald Trump has announced a phased tariff plan for imported generic medicines that gives a two-year exemption from August 1 followed by 100% and then 200% tariffs, raising immediate concerns for exporters.
  • Separately, Washington has proposed tariffs of up to 12.5% tied to forced-labour allegations, a separate measure that could affect India and other trading partners even if the bilateral deal proceeds.
  • India’s pharma sector is particularly exposed because US-bound drug shipments were about $9.7 billion in 2025, and the tariff moves have already hit drugmaker stocks and sharpened diplomatic urgency in talks.