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U.S. Proposes 25% Tariff on Brazil as Terror Designations Deepen Diplomatic Rift

The measures raise the prospect of a trade confrontation that could hit a fifth of Brazil's exports.

Overview

  • The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative concluded an investigation in early June and proposed a 25% corrective tariff on many Brazilian goods, citing concerns about the PIX payment system, illegal deforestation, intellectual property piracy, and weak anti‑corruption enforcement.
  • The USTR proposal exempts some strategic items such as beef, fruit, coffee, aircraft, and rare earths while Brazil's trade ministry says about 21% of its exports to the United States could be directly affected.
  • Days after late‑May meetings in Washington by Flávio and Eduardo Bolsonaro, the U.S. designated Brazil’s Primeiro Comando da Capital and Comando Vermelho as terrorist organizations, a step that could prompt banks and law‑enforcement partners to tighten financial and cooperation links.
  • President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva publicly denounced the tariff plan, accused the Bolsonaro family of lobbying the U.S., criticized Secretary of State Marco Rubio, said he will attend the G7 to press Brazil’s case, and directed a formal government response to the USTR by the July 15 comment deadline.
  • If negotiations fail, Brasília plans to seek alternative markets and deepen diplomatic outreach, a move that could reshape trade ties and political rhetoric during Brazil’s election year.