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U.S. Opens Bilateral USMCA Talks With Mexico to Press for U.S.-Only Auto Content

Sustained U.S. tariffs combined with Canada’s exclusion from the initial rounds make a quick trilateral renewal unlikely.

Overview

  • U.S. and Mexican negotiators began formal bilateral talks this week with three rounds scheduled through July to reopen the six-year USMCA review.
  • The U.S. Trade Representative is pushing proposed text that would add a U.S.-specific minimum for automotive content and tighten rules of origin for industrial goods.
  • USTR officials say current tariffs on Canadian and Mexican industrial imports will remain in place while offering possible preferential rates if Ottawa and Mexico coordinate external tariffs.
  • Canada is not part of the current Mexico rounds and has stepped up diplomatic outreach and trade diversification under Prime Minister Mark Carney to protect market access.
  • Labor and industry groups have pressed competing demands—UAW seeks quotas and higher wage-content rules while analysts warn the July deadline will likely trigger annual reviews and prolonged supply-chain uncertainty.