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U.S. New‑Home Sales Fall as Inventory Rises and Builders Pull Back

Elevated mortgage rates have cooled demand, boosting inventories that pressure builders to cut speculative starts.

Overview

  • Sales of new single‑family homes dropped 6.2% in April to a 622,000 annual pace and were down 11.3% from a year earlier, according to the Census Bureau.
  • Mortgage rates rose after late‑February geopolitical tensions, lifting the average 30‑year fixed rate above 6% and weighing on buyer affordability and contract signings.
  • Inventory of new homes climbed to 489,000 units and months’ supply widened to 9.4 months, a level that historically favors buyers and slows sales velocity.
  • The median new‑home price rose to $422,500 in April largely because a larger share of contracts were for $400,000‑plus homes, not because broad prices strengthened.
  • Builders have cut speculative starts and are shifting toward selling planned homes and offering incentives, which could keep construction and sales subdued until affordability improves.