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U.S. New‑Car Market Shrinks as One Million Buyers Drop Out

High prices, steep interest rates and rising fuel costs are keeping many buyers away and pushing automakers to favor profit over volume.

Overview

  • Automakers now plan for stagnant or smaller U.S. new‑vehicle sales this year after about one million prospective buyers left the market since the start of the decade.
  • Average transaction prices have climbed to roughly $50,000, a rise driven by persistent inflation, higher financing costs and recent increases in fuel prices.
  • Manufacturers are protecting profits by emphasizing higher‑margin trucks and SUVs and cutting back on large discount programs instead of returning quickly to cheaper model lineups.
  • Consumers are responding by holding cars longer—the average vehicle on U.S. roads is about 13 years old—or turning to a used‑car market that has also seen price gains.
  • Longer term pressures on affordability include tariffs and costly electric‑vehicle investment write‑downs, which have raised automaker expenses and limited near‑term rollouts of low‑priced models.