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U.S. Mortgage Rates Hold Near 6.5% as Market Digests Inflation and Middle East Risk

Persistent inflation driven by higher oil prices has kept bond yields elevated, reducing homebuyers' purchasing power.

FILE - A "For Sale" sign is seen on Tuesday, Jan. 6, 2026, in Portland, Ore. (AP Photo/Jenny Kane, File)

Overview

  • Freddie Mac reported Thursday that the 30-year fixed mortgage averaged 6.49% and the 15-year averaged 5.84%.
  • Rates have hovered in the mid-6% range for roughly six consecutive weeks, signaling short-term stability after spring volatility.
  • Bond markets reacted to higher inflation readings and Gulf shipping threats, and mortgage pricing continues to track the 10-year Treasury yield.
  • Higher borrowing costs are slicing buyers' purchasing power by hundreds of dollars a month, cooling purchase activity even as refinance demand has risen.
  • Economists and lenders say rates could stay above 6% for an extended period, and market watchers are watching incoming PCE, jobs data, and Fed comments for a change in direction.