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U.S. Mortgage Rates Fall to 5.98%, First Sub-6% Reading Since 2022

Economists say the sub-6% milestone may lift activity only if scarce inventory loosens.

Overview

  • Freddie Mac’s weekly survey put the 30-year fixed average at 5.98% for Feb. 26, the lowest since September 2022, with other measures hovering from the high-5% to low-6% range.
  • Refinance applications have surged year over year as costs drop, while purchase demand has been slower to respond in many areas, industry data show.
  • The decline tracked a lower 10-year Treasury yield after a Supreme Court tariff ruling and ensuing policy moves prompted a flight to safer assets, according to analysts.
  • FHFA-directed purchases of agency mortgage bonds and Federal Reserve policy expectations are part of the backdrop, though their effects on rates are uncertain and could take months to materialize.
  • Analysts say a rate that starts with a five may entice more buyers and potential sellers this spring, yet low inventory and the rate-lock effect are likely to cap any sustained rebound.