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U.S. Housing Affordability Worsens in Q2 2026

Higher mortgage rates combined with rising new‑home prices pushed monthly payments up, keeping relief from supply and cost pressures out of reach this year.

Overview

  • The NAHB/Wells Fargo Cost of Housing Index for Q2, released Thursday, showed mortgage payments on a median new home rose to about 34% of a typical family’s income, reversing recent improvement.
  • A steep climb in 30‑year mortgage rates toward roughly 6.8% and a quarter‑over‑quarter 2% rise in median new‑home prices were the main drivers that increased monthly payment burdens.
  • Households at half the median income faced extreme strain, needing roughly 67% of earnings for a new‑home mortgage and about 71% for an existing‑home mortgage in Q2, pushing many into 'severely cost‑burdened' territory.
  • Builders cited higher construction costs, labor shortages and regulatory hurdles that, together with an estimated 1.2 million‑unit shortfall, limit new supply and lead firms to offer incentives and rate buydowns.
  • A decade‑long pattern of prices outpacing incomes adds context: analysis shows home values rose faster than median household income in all 50 states from 2015–2024, and recently enacted measures to boost supply will take time to ease affordability.