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U.S. Homebuilder Sentiment Rises to 39 in December but Remains Weak

Tariff-driven cost pressure keeps builders dependent on incentives.

A construction worker is shown at work on a multi-unit residential housing project in Encinitas, California, U.S., July 28, 2025.   REUTERS/Mike Blake

Overview

  • NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index edged up 1 point to 39, the highest since April yet below the 50 breakeven for a 20th straight month.
  • Two-thirds of builders reported using incentives in December, the post‑pandemic high, and 40% cut prices with an average 5% reduction.
  • NAHB cites rising material and labor costs tied to tariffs on imported timber, lumber and other goods, with labor supply also constrained.
  • Survey components showed current sales at 42, future sales at 52 for a third month above 50, and buyer traffic flat at 26.
  • Mortgage rates hovered near 6.3%–6.4% and inventories rose, with sentiment improving most in the Midwest, picking up in the West, and slipping in the South.