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U.S. Home Prices Stall as Mortgage Rates Rise

Mortgage rates near 6.5% have cooled buyer demand and left national price growth roughly flat.

Overview

  • Major price measures released Tuesday show mixed signals: the Case-Shiller U.S. National Index rose about 0.8% year over year in April while the FHFA reported a 0.1% monthly dip and a 2.0% 12‑month gain.
  • Freddie Mac data put the average 30‑year fixed mortgage near 6.49% last week, a level that has reduced buyer activity and slowed transactions across the spring selling season.
  • Redfin reported a record median sale price of $408,814 driven in part by the pandemic-era price baseline even as weekly pending sales were essentially flat and active listings edged up year over year.
  • Supply remains uneven: the NAHB estimates a roughly 1.2 million shortage of homes, concentrated in starter units, while listing prices have fallen for months and inventory has risen in many metros.
  • The national picture is fragmented with more than half of tracked large metros showing year‑over‑year declines and a few, such as Chicago, posting strong gains, a split that could keep local affordability pressures in place and make new construction more important in some markets.