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U.S. First-Quarter Growth Reaches 2.0% on AI Investment, Falling Short of Forecasts

AI-driven equipment spending lifted output despite softer consumer demand.

Overview

  • The Commerce Department’s advance report Thursday put annualized GDP growth at 2.0%, up from 0.5% in late 2025 but below roughly 2.3% expected by forecasters.
  • Business investment in equipment jumped 10.4%, led by spending on data centers and information‑processing hardware tied to artificial intelligence.
  • Personal consumption, which accounts for about 70% of the economy, slowed to 1.6% as higher gasoline prices and broader inflation squeezed household budgets.
  • Residential investment fell 8.0% for a fifth straight quarterly drop, reflecting the drag from elevated mortgage rates on homebuilding and sales.
  • Economists warn that inflation and weaker household demand could cool growth in coming quarters, even as Fed Chair Jerome Powell says the economy remains resilient.