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U.S. Fertility Falls to Record Low in 2025, CDC Data Show

The drop signals slower population growth with rising pressure on Social Security.

Overview

  • Provisional federal figures show 3,606,400 U.S. births in 2025 and a fertility rate of 53.1 per 1,000 women of childbearing age.
  • Births increased for women in their 30s and 40s, yet larger declines among those under 30 point to later marriage and family formation.
  • Teen birth rates fell 7% from 2024 to a new low, extending a long slide that has reduced teen births about 72% since 2007.
  • Economists say fewer births and reduced immigration have slowed U.S. population growth to about 0.3% in 2025, which could weigh on medium‑term economic growth.
  • Social Security’s trustees now expect the total fertility rate to reach about 1.9 children per woman around 2050, a slower recovery that worsens long‑range deficit projections.