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U.S. Current Account Deficit Widens to $226.8 Billion in Q1

A swing into a primary income shortfall, not weaker trade, explains the rise and signals continued reliance on foreign funding.

Overview

  • The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis reported on Wednesday that the current-account deficit grew $5.8 billion from the revised fourth quarter to $226.8 billion, equal to 2.9% of GDP.
  • Primary income moved from a $3.431 billion surplus in Q4 to a $13.3 billion shortfall in Q1 as foreigners earned more on U.S. holdings while U.S. receipts fell, making the income swing the main driver of the wider deficit.
  • Trade flows improved overall: exports of goods and services rose by $50.0 billion to $1.38 trillion while imports rose by $55.8 billion to $1.61 trillion, and the goods deficit narrowed versus the prior quarter.
  • The net international investment position improved to –$21.27 trillion largely because U.S. liabilities fell in market value by about $1.18 trillion, which reflects price and valuation effects rather than a reduction in foreign holdings.
  • Financial-account inflows of roughly $803.7 billion continued to fund the gap, meaning the United States remains dependent on foreign capital and will face higher foreign income payments if investment returns and interest costs keep rising.