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U.S. Consumer Sentiment Rises to 57.3, Topping Forecasts in February

Falling one-year inflation expectations accompany the strongest reading since August 2025.

Overview

  • The University of Michigan’s final February Consumer Sentiment Index registered 57.3 versus 55.0 expected, marking a third consecutive monthly gain.
  • The Current Economic Conditions subindex climbed to 58.3, beating estimates, while Consumer Expectations came in at 56.6, roughly in line with forecasts.
  • Year-ahead inflation expectations eased to 3.5%, the lowest since January 2025, as five-year expectations edged up to 3.4%.
  • The latest reading extends a rebound from 51.0 in November and 52.9 in December to 56.4 in January.
  • Commentary noted concerns that politicization may weaken the survey’s usefulness for predicting consumer spending.