Overview
- The University of Michigan’s preliminary Index of Consumer Sentiment rose to 48.9, a 9% increase from May’s record low of 44.8, in a release published on Friday.
- Surveys of Consumers director Joanne Hsu said the improvement was driven mainly by early-June drops in gasoline prices that gave households immediate relief at the pump.
- One-year inflation expectations fell to 4.6% and long-run expectations declined to 3.4%, levels that are lower than last month but still well above the Fed’s 2% target.
- The uptick was broad based across age, education and political groups and was strongest for lower-income households, who spend a larger share of their budgets on fuel.
- The reading is preliminary and could be revised when the University of Michigan posts the final June survey on June 26; sustained recovery likely requires continued fuel-price easing and clearer price stability, which would affect consumer spending and economic growth.