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U.S. Consumer Confidence Edges Up as Expectations Rise

Cheaper oil after a US‑Iran ceasefire appears to have lifted expectations while households report a weaker jobs picture that the Fed will watch closely.

Packages of meat are displayed on a refrigerated case inside a grocery store in Chicago, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
Customers shop at a grocery store in Chicago, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
A customer shops at a grocery store in Chicago, Thursday, June 25, 2026. (AP Photo/Nam Y. Huh)
People shop for groceries at a store in Manhasset, New York, U.S., November 19, 2025. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton

Overview

  • The Conference Board said the consumer confidence index rose 0.6 points to 91.2 in June, with the Expectations component jumping 3.0 points to 74.4.
  • A sharp downward revision to May's reading—from 93.1 to 90.6—muted the apparent strength of June's gain.
  • The Present Situation index fell to 116.4 and the share of people saying jobs are "hard to get" climbed to 22.5%, the highest level since January 2021.
  • The survey's labor measures showed a collapsed labor differential of just +2.4% even as the Labor Department's JOLTS report showed rising job openings, creating a cross-report contrast.
  • Analysts say cheaper oil likely eased inflation worries and boosted expectations but that the survey's softer labor signals are the key thing for the Fed and will be weighed against upcoming payroll data.