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U.S.-Brokered Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire Frays as Monday Deadline Nears

Absent enforcement or monitors, the brief pause is unlikely to hold beyond the window.

Overview

  • The three-day pause, which runs May 9–11, was set to expire Monday as Ukraine reported Russian drone and artillery strikes that killed and wounded civilians in Zaporizhzhia and Kherson.
  • President Volodymyr Zelensky said Russia held off large missile barrages since May 9, while ground assaults continued along the front, and he warned Ukraine would answer in kind if full-scale attacks resume.
  • Russia’s Defense Ministry alleged thousands of Ukrainian violations and said its forces returned fire, while Ukraine’s General Staff counted 180 clashes in 24 hours and reported 8,037 one-way attack drones used against its positions.
  • Moscow said it prepared and shared lists for a planned 1,000-for-1,000 prisoner swap, and local reports said Kyiv submitted its list, though no exchange has taken place.
  • Analysts including the Institute for the Study of War said the deal lacks monitors, verification, and penalties, which makes an extension unlikely and leaves civilians facing continued danger even during declared pauses.