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U.S. and Iran Stalled Over Control of the Strait as Doha Talks Yield Limited Progress

Mediators created a supervisory channel to document alleged breaches to buy time for negotiations over frozen assets, verification and navigation rules in the Strait of Hormuz.

Overview

  • Technical, indirect talks in Doha continued this week and concluded a second round on Thursday with mediators reporting procedural progress but few substantive breakthroughs.
  • Negotiators agreed to formalize an immediate communications and supervision channel to record and address alleged violations of the June provisional memorandum.
  • Discussions in Doha have focused on operationalizing roughly $6 billion in frozen Iranian assets held in Qatar, with some early plans to use funds for immediate needs rather than a full transfer.
  • The biggest unresolved issue is who controls transit and what rules apply in the Strait of Hormuz, where Iran demands prior notification and routes while the U.S. insists on freedom of navigation.
  • Parties pledged a short-term calm that aims to avoid missile strikes for the coming week, but recent naval incidents, Iranian warnings to ships, and Iran’s mourning period have delayed further meetings and keep escalation risk high.