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U.S. and Iran Reportedly Near Memorandum to Pause Fighting as Trump Weighs Decision

If approved the memorandum would pause hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, heighten strains with NATO over abrupt U.S. troop moves, pause some foreign arms sales, leave regional security fragile.

Overview

  • Negotiators working through Pakistan and Qatar reported substantial progress on a one-page memorandum that would establish a roughly 60-day ceasefire and steps to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, according to multiple U.S. and regional sources.
  • President Trump said negotiators are close and that he could decide by Sunday whether to sign the deal, while warning that failure would prompt renewed U.S. attacks.
  • Draft terms reported by Axios and other outlets include removal of Iranian mines from the Strait, partial unfreezing of Iranian assets to allow oil sales, and a process to negotiate limits on Iran’s enrichment program.
  • U.S. operational moves have unsettled allies: the Pentagon recently suspended planned troop rotations in Europe and ordered returns from Germany, and Trump announced on Truth Social an extra 5,000 troops for Poland without prior allied notice.
  • Acting Navy Secretary Hung Cao told Congress some foreign military sales are on pause to conserve munitions for operations against Iran, a step that Taiwan says it has not been formally notified about and that adds diplomatic friction with partners.