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U.S. and Iran Reportedly Close to Deal to Reopen Strait of Hormuz

U.S. outlets say a tentative protocol would allow merchant ships to transit the strait, a move that would shave a major risk premium off energy prices.

Overview

  • U.S. officials said they remained close to a "solid" agreement with Iran on Monday and American media reported a draft would permit merchant vessels to transit the Strait of Hormuz again.
  • Iran announced it will charge fees for "navigation services" for ships passing the strait, describing the payments as service charges rather than tolls.
  • Markets reacted within hours: Brent and WTI crude fell roughly 5%, the Paris CAC 40 rose about 1.17%, and both the dollar and sovereign bond yields declined.
  • Trading volumes were lighter because of holiday schedules, which amplified price moves and left some market swings driven more by sentiment than by heavy flows.
  • The strait previously carried about 20% of global oil and LNG flows, so a return to normal traffic could lower fuel costs for energy‑intensive industries and consumers while pressuring oil producers' revenues.